BCS Makes No Sense, and never will
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I've said this often. A single 'sort' is a fallacy. Even at a given instant in time there is no single sort. Add time (injuries, skill improvement, etc), and it is even worse folly.
So the 'game' of the championship should not be based on a sort. It should be like all other team sports that have a rich mix of heterogeneous matchups. Playoffs. That is the only answer.
But anyway, within this totally broken championship system (which happens to wrap what is, in my opinion, one of the best gameday ball sports in terms of variety, creativity, concept, strategy, and tactics -- by which I specifically mean the college level), who is left to face LSU? ( BTW, Zack and Sammy, who is it that called LSU over Alabama on mumble.
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Odds are it is going to be SEC vs SEC. But what if Arkansas beats LSU. Then what? SCREWED. That's what. And that is what I am rooting for. A beats B beats C beats A -- and that is their only losses. And they are all SEC with wicked SoS, playing mostly the same teams. And not just SEC, they are all SEC West. There is no way to reconcile that the odd team out got totally screwed beyond any past season.
(BTW, this is all based on Oklahoma State getting beat by Oklahoma, which after the the Baylor game I totally expect/hope to happen -- otherwise it is muddy enough where BCS proponents can still delude themselves. The SEC West A->B->C->A thing is so purely inarguable that this is our best hope.)
If Arkansas wins then it will go to tie-breaker number eight. This is the text of the tie-breaker (as taken from Wiki): "The tied team with the highest ranking in the Bowl Championship Series Standings following the last weekend of regular-season games shall be the divisional representative in the SEC Championship Game, unless the second of the tied teams is ranked within five-or-fewer places of the highest ranked tied team. In this case, the head-to-head results of the top two ranked tied teams shall determine the representative in the SEC Championship Game"
In this scenario, LSU likely gets the shaft because although they beat Alabama it is very likely they do not stay #1 (it would very likely be Bama-Arkansas-LSU). So Alabama would be the representative for the SEC West. The best scenario for the destruction of the BCS is for Alabama to lose to Georgia. That should move Arkansas to #1 (under the theory that when a team loses, those teams behind it move up). So in theory it could be Arkansas vs whoever and could very well be an Arkansas vs LSU re-match. Now that would be the best way to destroy the BCS. But I think LSU is going to beat Arkansas, so the point is really moot.
Here is my predictions for the bowl games:
Orange: Stanford (At-Large) vs Louisville (Big East)
Sugar: Alabama (At-Large) vs Houston (At-Large)
Rose: Michigan St (Big 10) vs Oregon (Pac-12)
Fiesta: Oklahoma (Big 12) vs Boise St (At-Large)
Championship: Virginia Tech (ACC) vs LSU (SEC)
Now that probably sounds crazy, but I think it is clear that voters will avoid the rematch if a team presents itself. It happened to Florida in 2006 when Michigan and Ohio St. were set for a rematch. Virginia Tech I think will end up being that team. They can sneak in through the fact that every team above them has lost or will lose again except Alabama and LSU. The other crazy is Boise St, but again they are still 10th and the only team that should get in ahead of them is Oklahoma St who should have lost again to Oklahoma by then. (South Carolina who is behind them is ineligible and I seriously doubt any team behind them is worthy)
I wish it would be VT, given that I went there and that is the team I root for. VT will also have beat every team it played if it gets that far since its one loss is Clemson, and they would have to beat Clemson in the ACCC game. But that is also why I don't think it will be VT. Clemson lost bad yesterday to NC State, which will probably make that team be Stanford, since I think Ok St will lose again. Which means we'll have another team that did not win its conference in the BCS championship (since Oregon beat Stanford as head to head tie break within conference).